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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+9.34vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.46+6.13vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+4.96vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.91+6.05vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.66+2.17vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01+3.78vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+4.07vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.31vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.93+1.10vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.93+0.34vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.94+2.86vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.97-1.78vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-5.83vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.07-1.73vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.23-10.77vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-1.71vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.62-10.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.34George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.13Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.05Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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9.78North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.69SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.1Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.34Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.86Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.22Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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15.29University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Walter Henry | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Matthew King | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 22.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Will Murray | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 42.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.