← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.69+9.30vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.27+5.88vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.43+4.22vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.85+5.28vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.07+3.48vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.90+3.18vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+4.20vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.35-0.70vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University1.17+3.21vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.07-1.28vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.65-0.61vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.45vs Predicted
-
13Florida State University2.38-5.89vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin1.04-1.63vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College2.19-7.04vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University1.24-3.94vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan0.53-2.45vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University2.32-10.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.3Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.88University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
7.22Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.28Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
-
8.48Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
-
9.18Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
-
11.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
-
7.3George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
12.21North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
-
8.72University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
-
10.39Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
7.11Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
-
12.37University of Wisconsin1.040.0%1st Place
-
7.96SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
-
12.06Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
14.55University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
-
7.25Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Micky Munns | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
| Owen Timms | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% |
| Miles Williams | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Emily Allen | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 36.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.