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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+6.27vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.30vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+5.70vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.90+5.12vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+3.42vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+4.30vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.38+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.27-0.42vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-1.64vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35-2.39vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.24+1.12vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.85-2.24vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-1.94vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.69-4.19vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.04-2.32vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.19-7.96vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.17-4.62vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.53-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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9.12Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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10.3Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.21Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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7.36Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.12Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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9.81Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Wisconsin1.040.0%1st Place
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8.04SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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12.38North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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14.29University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Micky Munns | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Emily Allen | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Owen Timms | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.9% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.