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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+6.38vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+6.76vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+4.63vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+3.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+6.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+1.05vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+3.24vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.19-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.27-1.43vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.90-0.49vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-2.38vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24+0.25vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.85-3.77vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.38-6.97vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.69-4.92vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.53-1.46vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.04-4.17vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.17-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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8.76Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.63Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.26George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.24Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.92SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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12.25Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.03Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.08Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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14.54University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Wisconsin1.040.0%1st Place
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12.05North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Owen Timms | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Miles Williams | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 12.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 35.5% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 15.9% |
| Harrison Bailey | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.