← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.90+8.42vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.43+5.27vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.86+6.64vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.32+3.45vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.18vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.24+6.03vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.65+3.32vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.69+2.10vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.07-0.54vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.35-2.40vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.85-1.41vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-0.40vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.07-4.60vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College2.35-6.89vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin1.04-2.32vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan0.53-1.43vs Predicted
-
17North Carolina State University1.65-6.55vs Predicted
-
18Florida State University2.38-10.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.42Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
-
7.27Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
-
7.45Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
12.03Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
10.32Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
10.1Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.46University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
-
7.6George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
9.59Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
-
11.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
-
8.4Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
-
7.11SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
-
12.68University of Wisconsin1.040.0%1st Place
-
14.57University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
-
10.45North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.14Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% |
| Emily Allen | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Miles Williams | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Owen Timms | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Micky Munns | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 15.5% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 15.5% | 36.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.