Race 2A

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Cook 15.2% 14.8% 13.5% 11.5% 9.6% 8.1% 7.4% 5.8% 4.6% 3.4% 2.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Ryan Pesch 11.9% 11.9% 9.7% 10.1% 9.5% 9.3% 9.2% 8.5% 6.9% 4.9% 3.5% 2.6% 1.9% 0.1%
Drew Shea 6.3% 6.9% 7.1% 8.8% 4.4% 7.7% 7.1% 7.8% 8.3% 9.8% 9.4% 8.8% 6.5% 1.1%
Willem Sandberg 8.3% 10.1% 11.8% 9.2% 9.9% 9.6% 8.4% 6.8% 8.1% 6.8% 4.8% 3.4% 2.5% 0.3%
Bernie Roesler 9.6% 10.8% 10.9% 11.0% 10.4% 8.3% 9.2% 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 4.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Rob Struckett 7.6% 6.5% 7.7% 8.0% 7.6% 9.9% 8.5% 7.8% 7.7% 7.5% 8.2% 6.5% 5.4% 1.1%
Conor Lodge 5.8% 6.8% 6.0% 5.6% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% 8.7% 10.4% 10.5% 8.0% 2.4%
William Howard 8.9% 8.1% 9.0% 6.4% 10.1% 6.4% 7.9% 8.6% 7.9% 8.0% 6.9% 6.1% 4.9% 0.8%
Colin Santangelo 6.6% 4.9% 5.6% 6.3% 7.2% 7.6% 7.0% 9.6% 9.1% 8.6% 10.9% 8.8% 6.3% 1.5%
Timothy Scanlon 5.1% 4.5% 4.9% 5.8% 6.0% 7.9% 7.4% 7.9% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 11.7% 10.8% 2.7%
Quentin Chafee 7.1% 6.1% 5.5% 8.4% 8.6% 7.6% 8.5% 7.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.8% 0.7%
Phoebe Sprague 4.3% 4.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.8% 5.8% 6.7% 8.5% 7.8% 9.4% 9.1% 11.7% 14.1% 3.5%
Tevis Nichols 3.1% 3.8% 3.6% 3.8% 3.5% 4.1% 4.5% 6.4% 7.5% 8.0% 10.0% 13.4% 22.1% 6.2%
Whitney Washburn 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 2.1% 3.2% 8.3% 79.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.