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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+6.76vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+4.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.43vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.38+2.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+1.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73-0.05vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.44+3.82vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.16-0.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+3.01vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.96-1.35vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.88vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-3.21vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.20-2.06vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-1.38vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.92-8.97vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.26-5.07vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.29-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Bowdoin College2.386.8%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University2.6810.6%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.5%1st Place
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6.88College of Charleston2.388.6%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University2.228.2%1st Place
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5.95Brown University2.7311.5%1st Place
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10.82George Washington University1.443.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Pennsylvania2.166.3%1st Place
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12.01Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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8.65Cornell University1.965.5%1st Place
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9.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.9%1st Place
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8.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.055.8%1st Place
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10.94University of Wisconsin1.202.9%1st Place
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12.62Boston University1.072.3%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.9212.1%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University1.262.9%1st Place
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14.01SUNY Maritime College0.291.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Porter Bell | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 20.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.