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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.07+7.77vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+7.54vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.38+4.48vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.77+5.75vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.09+3.45vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+4.50vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.35+0.43vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.27-1.35vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.85-0.23vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-2.34vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-4.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-1.90vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.32-6.72vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.65-4.66vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.53-1.35vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.04-4.10vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.17-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.54Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.48Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.75Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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10.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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7.43SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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7.28Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.34Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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14.65University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Wisconsin1.040.0%1st Place
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12.14North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Miles Williams | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Allen | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 38.0% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 17.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.