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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+6.73vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+8.45vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+5.79vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+6.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+2.06vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.35+1.35vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+3.30vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.38-0.80vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.85vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.90-0.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-2.34vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.85-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-1.87vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-6.54vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.17-2.73vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.09-7.49vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.04-4.13vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.53-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.45Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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10.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.35SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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10.3Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.2Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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11.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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12.27North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.51Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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12.87University of Wisconsin1.040.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Micky Munns | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Allen | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Miles Williams | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Bailey | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 17.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.