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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+9.21vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+5.23vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.90+6.25vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+6.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+2.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.07+1.25vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.09+0.08vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.09vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.35-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.86-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.17+0.29vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.84-0.01vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.48-3.59vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-6.83vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.69-6.05vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-5.92vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.05-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.23Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.25Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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7.23Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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8.08Old Dominion University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.39SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Wisconsin1.170.0%1st Place
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12.99Connecticut College0.840.0%1st Place
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10.41North Carolina State University1.480.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.95Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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15.37University of Michigan0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Steven Hardee | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Quinn Kaiser | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Jean-Michel Bus | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
| Robert Chase | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Micky Munns | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Samuel Stephens | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 16.4% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.