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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.88vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+6.33vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+1.74vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.35+3.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.96vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93+5.13vs Predicted
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71.42+4.40vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20+0.32vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.41-1.42vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-4.05vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.39vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.53vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.73-4.22vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.16+1.02vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.98-5.21vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.55-5.59vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.02-3.42vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California0.90-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Harvard University3.1814.5%1st Place
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8.33Boston College2.565.9%1st Place
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4.74Stanford University3.3016.8%1st Place
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7.83Tulane University2.357.5%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Naval Academy2.043.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Miami1.933.6%1st Place
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11.41.422.5%1st Place
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8.32Georgetown University2.205.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Hawaii2.416.6%1st Place
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5.95Dartmouth College2.7511.3%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.3%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.3%1st Place
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8.78Webb Institute1.735.1%1st Place
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15.02Northwestern University0.160.7%1st Place
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9.79Fordham University1.983.5%1st Place
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10.41Jacksonville University1.553.5%1st Place
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13.58University of South Florida1.021.7%1st Place
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12.23University of Southern California0.902.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Henry Lee | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Erik Anderson | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Maks Groom | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Grace Bray | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 41.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Matthew King | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.