Race 3A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Cook 15.9% 15.0% 12.7% 10.6% 9.3% 8.9% 7.9% 5.6% 4.3% 3.5% 3.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Quentin Chafee 7.5% 8.9% 7.1% 6.8% 6.7% 8.0% 8.1% 7.6% 9.4% 9.4% 8.6% 6.4% 4.9% 0.6%
Ryan Pesch 9.8% 12.1% 10.2% 10.3% 9.0% 9.4% 7.4% 7.0% 8.4% 6.2% 4.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3%
Colin Santangelo 5.1% 5.9% 7.4% 6.5% 7.8% 7.0% 7.9% 8.4% 7.1% 9.5% 9.0% 8.5% 8.2% 1.7%
William Howard 6.8% 6.6% 8.5% 9.2% 8.5% 6.8% 9.2% 9.3% 6.3% 8.6% 8.1% 5.9% 5.4% 0.8%
Bernie Roesler 11.1% 10.4% 11.0% 9.6% 10.3% 9.1% 8.3% 7.0% 7.7% 5.0% 4.5% 3.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Drew Shea 7.3% 7.8% 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 8.1% 7.5% 8.1% 8.0% 8.4% 9.8% 7.1% 5.1% 1.4%
Rob Struckett 8.1% 7.7% 9.2% 7.7% 7.9% 7.1% 8.9% 9.0% 7.0% 7.9% 6.3% 7.4% 4.6% 1.2%
Phoebe Sprague 5.1% 2.6% 5.0% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 6.5% 6.2% 9.1% 9.7% 11.4% 11.7% 13.8% 3.3%
Willem Sandberg 10.1% 9.4% 9.2% 11.3% 9.0% 9.1% 8.1% 7.4% 7.8% 7.6% 5.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Tevis Nichols 2.5% 3.1% 2.4% 4.1% 4.5% 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.9% 6.8% 8.7% 15.3% 22.5% 7.8%
Timothy Scanlon 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 6.2% 7.5% 7.6% 6.7% 8.1% 8.9% 8.6% 9.0% 10.5% 10.8% 2.1%
Conor Lodge 5.7% 5.4% 5.1% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 7.6% 9.5% 8.9% 7.6% 8.7% 11.3% 9.3% 2.0%
Whitney Washburn 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 2.5% 3.2% 9.0% 78.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.