Race 4 - outlaw | College Sailing Data

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.8

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Kira Blumhagen & Ella Barnard

Western Washington University

-0.57

+1.60

vs Predicted
2

Tyler Nolasco & Matthew Lindburg

Western Washington University

0.43

-0.31

vs Predicted
3

Jaden Unruh & Julia Oglevie

University of Washington

-0.48

-0.45

vs Predicted
4

Jenna Hiegel & Reese Miller

University of Washington

-1.18

-0.85

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.6

Kira Blumhagen & Ella Barnard

Western Washington University

-0.57

0.2%

1st Place
1.69

Tyler Nolasco & Matthew Lindburg

Western Washington University

0.43

0.5%

1st Place
2.55

Jaden Unruh & Julia Oglevie

University of Washington

-0.48

0.2%

1st Place
3.15

Jenna Hiegel & Reese Miller

University of Washington

-1.18

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Kira Blumhagen	18.9%	26.8%	29.2%	25.1%
Tyler Nolasco	52.4%	29.7%	14.0%	3.9%
Jaden Unruh	19.1%	27.7%	31.9%	21.3%
Jenna Hiegel	9.6%	15.8%	24.9%	49.7%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.