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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+7.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+4.94vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.28vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.83vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+2.77vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26+4.93vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.61vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-0.16vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.38-3.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.73-5.24vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.44-1.20vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-1.19vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-1.03vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.20-4.17vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.16-8.21vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.29-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83Cornell University1.964.7%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University2.228.3%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University2.6810.3%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.9211.1%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College2.386.5%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University1.263.0%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.775.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.8%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.054.5%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston2.388.8%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.7311.8%1st Place
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10.8George Washington University1.443.5%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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12.97Boston University1.071.4%1st Place
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10.83University of Wisconsin1.203.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Pennsylvania2.166.9%1st Place
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14.09SUNY Maritime College0.291.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 21.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.