Race 2 - outlaw | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.9

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

University of Washington

0.55

+0.80

vs Predicted
2

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.68

+0.98

vs Predicted
3

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.60

-0.06

vs Predicted
4

Leopold Sabharwal & Aliyah Dodge

Western Washington University

-0.00

-1.71

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.8

Benjamin Luu & Grace Smith

University of Washington

0.55

0.5%

1st Place
2.98

Malcolm Duncan Graves & Julia Grams

Western Washington University

-0.68

0.1%

1st Place
2.94

Henry Stier & Austin Lai

University of Washington

-0.60

0.1%

1st Place
2.29

Leopold Sabharwal & Aliyah Dodge

Western Washington University

-0.00

0.3%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Benjamin Luu	47.3%	30.8%	16.5%	5.4%
Malcolm Duncan Graves	12.1%	18.0%	30.1%	39.8%
Henry Stier	14.4%	17.0%	29.0%	39.6%
Leopold Sabharwal	26.2%	34.2%	24.4%	15.2%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.