Race 5A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Cook 14.8% 15.9% 12.6% 11.0% 8.9% 9.3% 7.6% 4.8% 5.0% 4.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Bernie Roesler 13.2% 11.9% 10.0% 9.9% 9.2% 10.5% 8.1% 8.7% 6.2% 5.2% 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Tevis Nichols 3.8% 2.8% 3.6% 3.4% 5.3% 4.5% 5.0% 4.6% 5.5% 7.3% 9.7% 15.3% 21.7% 7.5%
Drew Shea 4.9% 7.1% 7.3% 7.8% 7.9% 6.7% 7.8% 7.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.9% 8.8% 6.2% 1.5%
Ryan Pesch 9.5% 9.1% 10.1% 11.6% 9.5% 8.6% 8.9% 8.2% 7.5% 5.1% 6.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.2%
Colin Santangelo 5.8% 5.2% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 7.8% 7.3% 9.1% 8.6% 8.9% 8.3% 9.8% 8.0% 1.9%
Willem Sandberg 11.5% 11.1% 11.1% 9.4% 9.0% 8.3% 9.0% 7.4% 7.6% 5.8% 4.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Timothy Scanlon 5.2% 6.5% 6.6% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.1% 8.8% 8.7% 8.7% 8.6% 10.8% 11.0% 2.4%
William Howard 7.6% 6.7% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 8.0% 9.7% 8.6% 8.1% 7.6% 9.0% 5.3% 4.3% 0.8%
Rob Struckett 7.5% 6.4% 7.8% 8.9% 8.6% 7.7% 9.7% 6.3% 8.4% 8.5% 8.1% 6.8% 4.9% 0.4%
Conor Lodge 5.2% 4.8% 5.4% 5.9% 6.9% 7.5% 5.8% 7.4% 7.7% 11.1% 9.0% 10.5% 10.7% 2.1%
Phoebe Sprague 4.3% 3.8% 3.9% 5.1% 6.2% 6.4% 6.5% 8.5% 7.7% 9.7% 10.9% 10.9% 13.2% 2.9%
Quentin Chafee 6.4% 8.1% 7.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 9.3% 8.6% 7.7% 8.7% 7.0% 5.6% 1.1%
Whitney Washburn 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 3.4% 8.3% 78.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.