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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.84vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.39+4.82vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.06+5.06vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.42+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93+4.86vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.27vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.58-0.96vs Predicted
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91.42+2.74vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.85vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-1.44vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.70-1.34vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.31vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.41-6.59vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.90-2.67vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.02-2.15vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.68-2.79vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.73-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Stanford University3.3015.2%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University3.1815.6%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College2.397.0%1st Place
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9.06Tulane University2.065.0%1st Place
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7.17Georgetown University2.428.2%1st Place
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10.86University of Miami1.933.1%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.9%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.588.0%1st Place
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11.741.422.4%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.2%1st Place
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9.56Fordham University1.983.9%1st Place
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10.66Jacksonville University1.703.3%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy2.043.9%1st Place
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7.41University of Hawaii2.417.3%1st Place
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12.33University of Southern California0.902.4%1st Place
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13.85University of South Florida1.021.2%1st Place
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14.21Northwestern University0.681.2%1st Place
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8.84Webb Institute1.735.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Zander King | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Enzo Menditto | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Peter Busch | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 24.7% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 27.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.