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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+9.63vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+5.15vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+5.01vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15+1.45vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+5.04vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.22+6.15vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.38+0.48vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-2.39vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.10+0.26vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.09+3.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-3.78vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.32-2.80vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.60-2.42vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.57-3.25vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-5.36vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.02-8.36vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.01-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.674.2%1st Place
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7.15Georgetown University2.427.5%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston2.496.8%1st Place
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5.45Stanford University3.1511.5%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University1.983.6%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University1.223.2%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College2.387.7%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.7313.6%1st Place
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9.26Jacksonville University2.104.6%1st Place
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13.11University of Wisconsin1.091.6%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.8%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.226.9%1st Place
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10.2University of Miami2.323.9%1st Place
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11.58University of South Florida1.602.6%1st Place
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11.75North Carolina State University1.573.2%1st Place
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10.64Bowdoin College2.033.5%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.026.4%1st Place
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13.74University of Texas1.011.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Pierce Brindley | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.5% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 19.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Matias Martin | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.