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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.26+9.84vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+6.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+3.02vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.20+5.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.16vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.44+3.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-1.02vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+2.91vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.93vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.38-4.05vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.73-6.10vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.91vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-4.65vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.16-7.33vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.96-7.15vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.07-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.84Old Dominion University1.262.9%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.055.1%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.9210.5%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University2.6810.9%1st Place
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10.9University of Wisconsin1.202.8%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.5%1st Place
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10.47George Washington University1.443.7%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University2.228.0%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College2.386.7%1st Place
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6.95College of Charleston2.388.8%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.7311.8%1st Place
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13.91SUNY Maritime College0.411.2%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.5%1st Place
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7.67University of Pennsylvania2.167.6%1st Place
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8.85Cornell University1.963.5%1st Place
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12.99Boston University1.071.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 37.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Porter Bell | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.