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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+2.06vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40+3.42vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45+0.76vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.33-0.01vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-1.19vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.95vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.3%1st Place
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5.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.1%1st Place
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3.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.1%1st Place
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3.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.330.1%1st Place
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3.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
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4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete McGriff | 25.8% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Owen Harrod | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 43.9% |
| Thomas Walker | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 8.4% |
| Collin Porter | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 11.5% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 13.1% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 9.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 14.4% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.