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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+2.05vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40+3.42vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45+0.75vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.10vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.33-1.01vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-2.21vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.3%1st Place
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5.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.1%1st Place
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3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.1%1st Place
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4.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.330.1%1st Place
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3.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.2%1st Place
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3.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete McGriff | 25.7% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Owen Harrod | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 43.7% |
| Thomas Walker | 14.6% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 8.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% |
| Collin Porter | 11.3% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 10.4% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 15.8% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 14.3% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.