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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.96vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+1.78vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.33+0.94vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-0.83vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.94vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40-0.51vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
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3.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.330.2%1st Place
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3.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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4.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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5.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.0%1st Place
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3.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 13.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 14.1% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 8.3% |
| Collin Porter | 15.4% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 10.1% |
| Pete McGriff | 22.5% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 11.2% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 12.6% |
| Owen Harrod | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 47.4% |
| Thomas Walker | 18.7% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.