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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+1.76vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45+0.75vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.33+0.01vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40+0.51vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.94vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
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3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.2%1st Place
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4.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.330.1%1st Place
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5.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.0%1st Place
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4.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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2.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 14.9% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 8.2% |
| Thomas Walker | 15.4% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
| Collin Porter | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 10.3% |
| Owen Harrod | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 45.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 12.1% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.4% |
| Pete McGriff | 25.3% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.