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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45+2.66vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.00vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+0.13vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-0.19vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.33-1.01vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.95vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.2%1st Place
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4.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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3.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.2%1st Place
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3.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.330.1%1st Place
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4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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5.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walker | 17.8% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 11.2% |
| Pete McGriff | 22.6% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 15.4% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 8.9% |
| Collin Porter | 11.9% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 11.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 12.3% |
| Owen Harrod | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 19.0% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.