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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+1.10vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+0.79vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.07vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.33-1.03vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45-2.26vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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3.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
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4.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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3.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.330.1%1st Place
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3.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.2%1st Place
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5.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 14.8% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
| Pete McGriff | 22.8% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 15.0% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 12.1% |
| Collin Porter | 11.4% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 11.4% |
| Thomas Walker | 16.3% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.2% |
| Owen Harrod | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.