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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45+2.65vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.04vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+1.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-0.84vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.33-1.02vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40-0.51vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.2%1st Place
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4.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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3.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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3.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.330.1%1st Place
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5.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.0%1st Place
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3.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walker | 16.9% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.9% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 11.3% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 14.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 11.3% |
| Pete McGriff | 22.6% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Collin Porter | 12.0% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 11.5% |
| Owen Harrod | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 46.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 17.9% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.