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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+2.67vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45+1.73vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-0.84vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40+0.53vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.33-2.06vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.2%1st Place
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.1%1st Place
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4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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5.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.0%1st Place
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3.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.330.1%1st Place
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3.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 17.1% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.9% |
| Thomas Walker | 14.9% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 7.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 13.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 12.5% |
| Pete McGriff | 22.4% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Owen Harrod | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 46.4% |
| Collin Porter | 13.6% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 12.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.