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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+1.12vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.40+2.45vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.45-0.19vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.93vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.33-2.08vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.2%1st Place
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5.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.400.1%1st Place
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3.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.450.1%1st Place
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4.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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3.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.330.1%1st Place
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3.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 11.4% |
| Pete McGriff | 22.0% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Owen Harrod | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 44.3% |
| Thomas Walker | 14.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 8.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% |
| Collin Porter | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 11.2% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 17.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.