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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.06+7.98vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.72vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.42+4.23vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30+0.82vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.39+2.80vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93+4.90vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.73+1.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.15vs Predicted
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91.42+2.72vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.41-3.67vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.58-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.02+0.74vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.98-4.23vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.70-4.08vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.68-1.97vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.90-4.54vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Tulane University2.064.5%1st Place
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4.72Harvard University3.1814.7%1st Place
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7.23Georgetown University2.428.8%1st Place
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4.82Stanford University3.3017.2%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College2.396.2%1st Place
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10.9University of Miami1.933.2%1st Place
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8.75Webb Institute1.735.4%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.6%1st Place
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11.721.422.9%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.044.7%1st Place
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7.33University of Hawaii2.417.6%1st Place
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7.07Boston College2.587.5%1st Place
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13.74University of South Florida1.021.5%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University1.983.5%1st Place
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10.92Jacksonville University1.703.4%1st Place
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14.03Northwestern University0.681.1%1st Place
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12.46University of Southern California0.901.8%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.672.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Henry Lee | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Erik Anderson | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Peter Busch | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 25.6% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 26.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.