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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.07vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.64+8.44vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.90+4.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.27+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.42+3.36vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.75-0.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+1.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.90-2.58vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-0.61vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.54-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.66-2.40vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-2.34-0.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54-5.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-4.04vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.68-2.47vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-4.44vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-3.45-1.98vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-3.00-4.35vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-3.07-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.3%1st Place
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3.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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11.44University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.32Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Southern California-0.270.1%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Davis-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.57Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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11.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Berkeley-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.660.0%1st Place
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14.27San Diego State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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15.53University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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14.56University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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18.02Arizona State University-3.450.0%1st Place
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16.65University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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16.77University of California at San Diego-3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 27.3% | 23.0% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 18.8% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kamille Romero | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Aivan Durfee | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Frank Hobson | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Holden Clarke | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 36.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 19.3% |
| Cassidy Murray | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.