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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.17vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+2.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-1.42+8.54vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+8.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+2.22vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75+2.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.70+5.32vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.90+1.05vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-0.27-2.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.64+2.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.66+1.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.54-0.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54-1.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-1.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.90-5.70vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.87-2.74vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-1.41vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.68-1.29vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.81-6.14vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-3.07-1.82vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.04-6.97vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-3.00-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.3%1st Place
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4.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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11.54University of California at Davis-1.420.0%1st Place
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12.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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8.26Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
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9.05Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Southern California-0.270.1%1st Place
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12.25University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Los Angeles-1.660.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Berkeley-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.26San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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15.59University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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16.71University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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12.86Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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18.18University of California at San Diego-3.070.0%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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17.82University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 25.9% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 18.5% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kamille Romero | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Jack Zemke | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McKinley | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Frank Hobson | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| samson grunwald | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Grossman | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Maximus Suh | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 15.0% |
| William Bailly | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Cassidy Murray | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 30.4% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.