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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+10.10vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.64+8.24vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+3.21vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.90+2.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-0.27-1.46vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+3.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.70+2.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.42-0.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-2.04+2.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34+2.32vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54-1.94vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.66-2.38vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.68+0.53vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.54-5.07vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.81-5.12vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.90-10.31vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-3.07-1.93vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-2.34-5.78vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-3.00-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.3%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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12.24University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.21Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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8.85Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Southern California-0.270.1%1st Place
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12.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Davis-1.700.0%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Davis-1.420.0%1st Place
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14.02University of California at Los Angeles-2.040.0%1st Place
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15.32University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Los Angeles-1.660.0%1st Place
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16.53University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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11.93University of California at Berkeley-1.540.0%1st Place
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12.88Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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18.07University of California at San Diego-3.070.0%1st Place
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15.22San Diego State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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17.74University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 26.9% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 15.7% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Zemke | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Kamille Romero | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Maximus Suh | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Frank Hobson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Weil | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 16.1% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| William Bailly | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cassidy Murray | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 28.3% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.