Race 8A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Pesch 10.3% 12.2% 10.8% 10.2% 8.9% 9.4% 7.6% 8.0% 5.1% 5.6% 5.7% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
William Howard 8.8% 9.6% 6.9% 8.2% 9.1% 8.1% 8.2% 7.1% 10.0% 8.0% 6.9% 4.5% 4.2% 0.4%
Alex Cook 15.4% 13.9% 12.7% 11.2% 10.1% 7.3% 8.7% 6.3% 5.9% 3.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Drew Shea 5.7% 6.2% 7.9% 6.9% 6.9% 7.1% 7.9% 7.9% 8.4% 9.0% 8.7% 9.4% 6.5% 1.5%
Rob Struckett 6.4% 7.6% 7.6% 7.3% 10.2% 7.9% 8.8% 8.5% 7.1% 8.2% 7.3% 7.7% 4.6% 0.8%
Tevis Nichols 3.3% 2.6% 3.0% 4.1% 3.2% 3.4% 5.0% 5.4% 7.2% 9.8% 10.0% 12.2% 23.1% 7.7%
Bernie Roesler 12.8% 12.7% 10.1% 10.4% 10.2% 8.5% 7.9% 7.9% 5.9% 6.1% 3.6% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4%
Colin Santangelo 6.7% 5.8% 8.3% 6.3% 6.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 10.1% 6.4% 7.8% 9.1% 8.7% 1.9%
Willem Sandberg 9.9% 8.6% 10.3% 9.1% 9.7% 10.9% 7.9% 9.2% 7.5% 5.4% 5.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.3%
Quentin Chafee 6.2% 6.2% 6.3% 9.0% 7.0% 8.4% 8.6% 7.9% 8.3% 8.1% 9.2% 8.6% 5.2% 1.0%
Phoebe Sprague 4.4% 4.1% 3.7% 5.1% 5.6% 6.8% 6.3% 7.3% 7.4% 7.8% 12.3% 11.8% 14.1% 3.3%
Timothy Scanlon 4.5% 4.6% 5.9% 5.5% 6.5% 7.0% 7.7% 7.8% 8.7% 10.1% 8.1% 11.0% 10.3% 2.3%
Conor Lodge 5.3% 5.4% 6.0% 6.5% 5.7% 6.8% 7.4% 8.0% 7.3% 9.7% 9.8% 11.8% 8.4% 1.9%
Whitney Washburn 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 2.5% 9.4% 77.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.