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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+6.77vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+4.28vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+6.37vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16+3.69vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44+5.59vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.07+5.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.36vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.20+1.76vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.96-1.26vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.07+1.91vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.41+1.92vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.92-7.07vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.73-8.02vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.26-3.79vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.38-9.06vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.22-10.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Bowdoin College2.386.8%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University2.6810.7%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Pennsylvania2.166.9%1st Place
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10.59George Washington University1.443.7%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University1.071.8%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.3%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.055.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Wisconsin1.203.2%1st Place
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8.74Cornell University1.965.2%1st Place
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12.91Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
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13.92SUNY Maritime College0.411.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University2.9210.8%1st Place
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5.98Brown University2.7310.9%1st Place
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11.21Old Dominion University1.262.3%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston2.389.0%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University2.228.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 12.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 22.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 36.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.