← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+2.47vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley-0.66+4.40vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33+0.63vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-2.05+7.55vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-0.13vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.90+1.37vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University-1.53+2.35vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-1.24+0.15vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-2.16vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+3.60vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-2.12+0.71vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.58vs Predicted
-
13San Diego State University-2.04-1.41vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-1.37vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-0.79vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-3.14-0.36vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-2.97-1.95vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-3.11-2.13vs Predicted
-
19University of Southern California-2.42-5.97vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-3.16-4.19vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-4.29-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.47California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.2%1st Place
-
6.4University of California at Berkeley-0.660.1%1st Place
-
3.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.2%1st Place
-
11.55University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
-
4.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
-
7.37University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
-
9.35Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
8.15Arizona State University-1.240.1%1st Place
-
6.84University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
-
13.6University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.71University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
-
11.42University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
-
11.59San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
-
12.63University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
-
14.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
-
15.64University of California at Santa Cruz-3.140.0%1st Place
-
15.05Arizona State University-2.970.0%1st Place
-
15.87University of California at Los Angeles-3.110.0%1st Place
-
13.03University of Southern California-2.420.0%1st Place
-
15.81University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
-
18.8University of California at San Diego-4.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Skewes | 22.5% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Milne | 19.6% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Summer Drake | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Wu | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| John Gallagher | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% |
| Hayden shaw | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Siobhan Dornfried | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
| Liam Hoole | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 10.8% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 15.9% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.