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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+2.46vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.05+7.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.90+2.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.12+6.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.66-0.75vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78+6.14vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.24-0.70vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.53-0.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.20vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-5.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-0.19vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-2.42-1.02vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-2.04-3.72vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.97-0.97vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-3.16-1.23vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-4.12vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-3.11-3.33vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-3.14-4.28vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-4.29-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.2%1st Place
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3.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.2%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
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11.53University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Berkeley-0.660.1%1st Place
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14.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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8.3Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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9.45Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.2University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Southern California-2.420.0%1st Place
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11.28San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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15.03Arizona State University-2.970.0%1st Place
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15.77University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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15.67University of California at Los Angeles-3.110.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at Santa Cruz-3.140.0%1st Place
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18.79University of California at San Diego-4.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Skewes | 23.5% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Milne | 20.2% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 11.7% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Fiona Wu | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Gavin Hirz | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Dante Massaro | 7.0% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Liam Hoole | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Bryson Dort | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 9.7% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Siobhan Dornfried | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.