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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.06+7.14vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.73+6.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+3.37vs Predicted
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41.42+6.64vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15-0.49vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.45+0.71vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.34+3.94vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.70+2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93+1.52vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.42+1.06vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.16+3.63vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.25-1.01vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.42-6.50vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-4.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.96vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.58vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.02-3.82vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.31-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Tulane University2.066.6%1st Place
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8.02Webb Institute1.735.9%1st Place
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6.37Boston College2.5810.0%1st Place
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10.641.423.2%1st Place
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4.51Stanford University3.1517.7%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.459.2%1st Place
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10.94Dartmouth College1.343.4%1st Place
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10.12Jacksonville University1.704.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Miami1.933.3%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University1.422.9%1st Place
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14.63Northwestern University0.161.3%1st Place
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10.99University of Southern California1.253.5%1st Place
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6.5Georgetown University2.4210.7%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.354.9%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy2.045.1%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.0%1st Place
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13.18University of South Florida1.021.9%1st Place
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11.11University of Hawaii1.312.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Peter Busch | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 17.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Yumi Yoshiyasu | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Grace Bray | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 38.9% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jasper Reid | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 19.2% |
| Everett McAvoy | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.