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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.36vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.17+6.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.01+6.32vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.64+1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.19+3.95vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+0.77vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.32-0.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+0.88vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.53+1.96vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.55+0.72vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.07-4.20vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+1.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.68-3.46vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.80+0.01vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.93-4.83vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.44vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-0.90vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-3.64vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.71-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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9.65San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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3.34California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.2%1st Place
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7.58University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Southern California-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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8.89Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Santa Cruz-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Berkeley0.070.0%1st Place
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16.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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14.36University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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18.01San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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14.17University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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18.56University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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20.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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18.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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17.61University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.6% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 24.7% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| karl zoghbi | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 10.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 17.2% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 36.9% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.