Race 10A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Bernie Roesler 11.2% 12.5% 11.2% 10.6% 9.5% 9.5% 8.0% 7.2% 5.4% 4.7% 4.3% 3.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Rob Struckett 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 8.3% 8.5% 7.1% 8.1% 9.8% 8.2% 7.5% 6.5% 5.2% 4.2% 0.8%
Drew Shea 6.2% 6.4% 8.8% 6.3% 6.6% 6.3% 8.0% 9.4% 7.4% 8.9% 9.5% 7.9% 6.7% 1.6%
Willem Sandberg 9.1% 10.5% 9.0% 11.3% 9.8% 9.1% 9.4% 7.4% 8.0% 5.9% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Alex Cook 13.6% 13.3% 13.0% 13.4% 9.1% 7.3% 9.2% 6.4% 6.8% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Colin Santangelo 6.5% 5.0% 6.7% 5.5% 6.9% 8.8% 8.0% 8.0% 8.6% 8.6% 7.9% 8.6% 9.0% 1.9%
Quentin Chafee 7.6% 8.0% 7.5% 8.0% 7.3% 9.0% 7.9% 8.1% 8.5% 7.8% 7.6% 6.5% 5.4% 0.8%
Ryan Pesch 11.5% 11.0% 9.6% 9.8% 10.7% 7.5% 7.8% 7.5% 7.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Tevis Nichols 4.3% 2.5% 2.4% 3.1% 4.6% 3.5% 5.0% 5.1% 6.8% 8.9% 10.7% 15.7% 19.5% 7.9%
Timothy Scanlon 5.1% 4.0% 4.9% 5.2% 7.9% 7.4% 8.1% 6.4% 8.0% 8.7% 9.6% 12.5% 9.5% 2.7%
Conor Lodge 5.3% 4.7% 4.9% 6.4% 6.3% 7.9% 5.7% 8.6% 7.8% 9.9% 9.9% 10.3% 9.1% 3.2%
Sarah Fiske 3.0% 3.5% 3.2% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 5.9% 6.2% 7.4% 10.6% 10.7% 10.6% 17.2% 8.2%
James Fales 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 5.5% 9.8% 70.8%
William Howard 7.7% 9.1% 9.0% 7.6% 7.6% 10.1% 8.1% 8.8% 7.6% 7.1% 8.2% 5.0% 3.0% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.