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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.32vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+2.11vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.50+1.48vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.82-1.78vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.10+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.52-1.36vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.06-3.25vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-2.70-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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3.32University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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5.11Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.48Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.22Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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6.56University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.42Indiana University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 32.7% | 24.4% | 20.2% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 16.4% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Brittany Shabino | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 2.9% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.0% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 33.7% | 11.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 5.1% |
| Annabel Bridges | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Longhitano | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.