← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.86+2.23vs Predicted
-
2Indiana University0.82+1.41vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University1.33-0.51vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-0.50+1.50vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-0.20-0.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois-1.10+0.59vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin-0.06-2.16vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-0.52-2.39vs Predicted
-
9Indiana University-2.70-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.23University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
-
3.41Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
-
2.49Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
-
5.5Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
4.93Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
-
6.59University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
-
4.84University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
-
5.61University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
-
8.41Indiana University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 20.5% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 16.5% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 33.3% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 3.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 33.7% | 10.7% |
| Annabel Bridges | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Longhitano | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.