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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+2.18vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.20+3.26vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.33-0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.52+1.52vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.82-1.78vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.06-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-1.45vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-2.70-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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5.26Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
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2.51Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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5.52University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.22Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.58Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.4Indiana University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 19.8% | 21.9% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 4.7% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 3.1% |
| Delaney Smith | 32.9% | 24.9% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 3.8% |
| Nithya Balachander | 21.2% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 2.9% |
| Annabel Bridges | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 32.6% | 11.8% |
| Taylor Longhitano | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 10.9% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.