← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.33+1.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.32vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-0.20+2.13vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-0.50+1.53vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.52+0.50vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University0.82-2.80vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin-0.06-2.17vs Predicted
-
8University of Illinois-1.10-1.46vs Predicted
-
9Indiana University-2.70-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.52Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
-
3.32University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
-
5.13Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
-
5.53Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
5.5University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.2Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
-
4.83University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
-
6.54University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
-
8.43Indiana University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 32.4% | 26.7% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 17.8% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 2.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 3.2% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 4.7% |
| Nithya Balachander | 19.9% | 20.9% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 1.5% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 32.3% | 11.2% |
| Taylor Longhitano | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.