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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.51vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86+0.20vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.20+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.10+1.49vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.52-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.06-3.20vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-2.70-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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3.39Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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3.2University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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4.95Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.59Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.41Indiana University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 32.2% | 25.2% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 15.3% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 21.8% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 30.9% | 13.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 2.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 16.9% | 4.4% |
| Annabel Bridges | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Longhitano | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 10.9% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.