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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.11+6.02vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+5.15vs Predicted
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33.88+1.72vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.56+1.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.23+1.89vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.99+1.60vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.62-1.71vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.81+0.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.52-3.06vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-0.22vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.41-1.63vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-3.97vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.66-0.12vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.25-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.723.880.2%1st Place
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5.74Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.89Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.29Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Chafee | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Drew Shea | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Alex Cook | 16.2% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Colin Santangelo | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Bernie Roesler | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 2.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 20.6% | 9.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 6.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| James Fales | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 70.7% |
| William Howard | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.