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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.58+5.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+4.62vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.34+8.11vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.45+2.72vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15-0.47vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.73+1.98vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.06+1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.93+2.05vs Predicted
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91.42+1.87vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.25+0.94vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.16+3.73vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-4.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.00vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.02-1.78vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.42-4.95vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.70-6.91vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.31-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Boston College2.589.8%1st Place
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6.62Georgetown University2.428.0%1st Place
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11.11Dartmouth College1.343.5%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.458.4%1st Place
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4.53Stanford University3.1517.2%1st Place
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7.98Webb Institute1.736.9%1st Place
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8.55Tulane University2.065.8%1st Place
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10.05University of Miami1.934.7%1st Place
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10.871.423.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Southern California1.253.5%1st Place
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14.73Northwestern University0.161.1%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.9%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.355.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy2.044.9%1st Place
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13.22University of South Florida1.021.8%1st Place
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11.05Fordham University1.422.9%1st Place
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10.09Jacksonville University1.704.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Hawaii1.313.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Yumi Yoshiyasu | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Robby Meek | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 17.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Zander King | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Henry Lee | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Grace Bray | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 38.9% |
| Maks Groom | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Jasper Reid | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 18.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Igoe | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.