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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+2.35vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.33+0.72vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.06+0.87vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.15-0.54vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.82-2.66vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.52-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-1.29vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-2.70-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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2.72Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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5.29Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.46Purdue University0.150.1%1st Place
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3.34Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.79University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.46Indiana University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 19.7% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Smith | 28.5% | 24.4% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 2.5% |
| Annabel Bridges | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 1.1% |
| Nithya Balachander | 19.2% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 19.5% | 4.7% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 36.3% | 12.6% |
| Taylor Longhitano | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.