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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+2.30vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.33+0.73vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.20+2.25vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-0.68vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.15-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.10+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.06-2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.52-2.21vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-2.70-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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2.73Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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5.25Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.32Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.47Purdue University0.150.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
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8.45Indiana University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 20.9% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 26.8% | 25.8% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 11.4% | 2.8% |
| Nithya Balachander | 19.1% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 37.2% | 11.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 20.4% | 4.8% |
| Taylor Longhitano | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.