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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.06+0.96vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.52-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.10-0.76vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-2.76-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
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2.69University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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2.81Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.57Indiana University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 38.9% | 27.4% | 18.8% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 22.7% | 27.2% | 22.2% | 17.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Annabel Bridges | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 24.5% | 25.1% | 12.5% | 2.8% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.6% | 21.4% | 24.8% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 4.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 29.0% | 26.0% | 5.5% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 44.0% | 13.2% |
| Delaynie Grove | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.