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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.71vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.82-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.06-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.52-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.10-0.74vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-2.76-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
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2.71University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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2.78Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.56Indiana University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 38.0% | 28.7% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 23.4% | 23.3% | 26.3% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Nithya Balachander | 21.0% | 25.6% | 24.0% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Annabel Bridges | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 26.3% | 13.5% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 18.7% | 27.5% | 26.0% | 5.6% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 20.0% | 43.2% | 13.5% |
| Delaynie Grove | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 77.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.