← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.33+1.19vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.86+0.71vs Predicted
-
3Indiana University0.82-0.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin-0.06-0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois-1.10+0.25vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan-0.52-1.47vs Predicted
-
7Indiana University-2.76-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
-
2.71University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
-
2.8Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
-
3.95University of Wisconsin-0.060.1%1st Place
-
5.25University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
-
4.53University of Michigan-0.520.1%1st Place
-
6.57Indiana University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 38.3% | 28.2% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 23.0% | 23.5% | 26.9% | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 20.5% | 25.4% | 25.2% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Annabel Bridges | 8.9% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 23.6% | 25.7% | 13.6% | 2.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 20.7% | 42.0% | 14.4% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 19.8% | 27.5% | 25.9% | 4.6% |
| Delaynie Grove | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 77.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.