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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+8.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.98vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+5.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+4.89vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26+7.82vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+6.19vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.10vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.30-4.27vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93+3.67vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.42-5.41vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.81-2.05vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.20-4.26vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.14vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-2.72vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.10-5.51vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.97-7.12vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.38-10.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Tulane University2.026.0%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College2.7511.5%1st Place
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8.8Boston College2.095.7%1st Place
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8.89Brown University2.045.5%1st Place
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12.82North Carolina State University1.262.1%1st Place
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12.19Northeastern University1.221.9%1st Place
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10.34University of Pennsylvania1.724.4%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy2.043.9%1st Place
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4.73Stanford University3.3017.0%1st Place
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13.67George Washington University0.931.9%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.4211.1%1st Place
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9.95College of Charleston1.813.8%1st Place
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8.74Georgetown University2.205.7%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.2%1st Place
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12.28Bowdoin College1.512.0%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University2.102.9%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University1.973.9%1st Place
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7.6Cornell University2.386.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 17.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 27.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Bridget Green | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.