Race 12A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Bernie Roesler 11.0% 12.7% 11.8% 10.2% 9.9% 7.2% 8.0% 8.5% 6.3% 4.6% 4.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Alex Cook 16.9% 14.5% 13.0% 10.4% 9.3% 10.3% 8.7% 5.2% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Rob Struckett 7.3% 8.6% 7.6% 7.7% 7.7% 7.6% 8.8% 8.3% 8.2% 9.1% 7.6% 6.9% 3.4% 1.2%
Willem Sandberg 8.4% 10.8% 12.0% 9.5% 8.0% 10.2% 9.5% 7.8% 6.5% 6.3% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Ryan Pesch 8.9% 11.3% 9.3% 12.6% 9.2% 7.5% 7.4% 10.0% 6.1% 7.1% 5.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.3%
Drew Shea 6.3% 5.8% 6.4% 6.7% 7.6% 8.5% 7.9% 8.6% 8.0% 7.8% 9.4% 7.3% 7.8% 1.9%
Colin Santangelo 7.0% 6.6% 7.1% 7.0% 7.6% 7.4% 8.6% 8.2% 8.6% 8.0% 9.0% 7.2% 6.4% 1.3%
Timothy Scanlon 6.2% 4.7% 6.3% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 6.1% 6.8% 10.2% 10.3% 7.7% 8.0% 11.8% 3.0%
Tevis Nichols 4.1% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 4.2% 6.3% 6.9% 9.5% 10.7% 13.7% 19.1% 9.3%
Conor Lodge 4.9% 5.4% 4.7% 4.8% 8.2% 6.4% 7.2% 6.7% 9.5% 8.6% 9.6% 12.7% 8.9% 2.4%
Quentin Chafee 7.3% 6.1% 6.4% 7.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.5% 8.1% 8.6% 7.5% 9.0% 6.6% 6.4% 1.7%
William Howard 7.3% 7.3% 8.2% 9.1% 8.7% 8.7% 8.6% 8.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.0% 5.3% 4.7% 1.0%
James Fales 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 5.3% 8.4% 71.9%
Sarah Fiske 3.6% 2.8% 4.0% 5.1% 4.9% 5.9% 5.3% 5.3% 7.3% 7.9% 10.0% 15.3% 17.1% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.