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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.66+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.87-0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.00-0.71vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.54-0.16vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-2.70+0.03vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-2.98-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of Wisconsin-0.660.1%1st Place
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1.6University of Michigan0.870.6%1st Place
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2.29University of Wisconsin0.000.2%1st Place
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3.84Northwestern University-1.540.0%1st Place
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5.03Indiana University-2.700.0%1st Place
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5.27Indiana University-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Mandell | 12.2% | 20.7% | 35.1% | 23.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 57.3% | 28.3% | 12.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Considine | 23.9% | 37.4% | 26.1% | 10.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Spray | 4.6% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 39.4% | 23.2% | 5.5% |
| Julia Grumbling | 1.0% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 37.0% | 40.0% |
| Sammy Stoeber | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 11.0% | 31.1% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.