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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.29+4.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.91vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.55+1.52vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89+1.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.41-3.10vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-0.88vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.18vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-1.88vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.11-9.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.62-5.30vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.83Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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11.12Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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4.95Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.16Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Young | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 22.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 13.5% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.