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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+5.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.29+5.11vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.89vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89+1.79vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+2.02vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-4.21vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.28+0.83vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.11-6.20vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14-0.78vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.62-3.04vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.41-6.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-5.73vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.55-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.79Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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10.83Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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4.8Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.22Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Grace Gear | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 19.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.2% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 27.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% |
| Sarah Young | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.